![]() ![]() In other words, UConn is a better prediction ATS at (-7.5) than as a prohibitively-short moneyline pick to win the national championship game. If the Aztecs don't succeed in creating turnovers, winning with defensive stops, or just happening to hit a bunch of spectacular shots at the right time, then UConn will probably win by double-digits. If Connecticut is leading by a slight margin with 5:00 left, Lamont Butler of the Aztecs probably won't be able to hunt for a game-turning jump shot such as his dramatic winner against FAU on Saturday, because Sanogo will be drawing fouls inside and giving UConn 2-possession leads with at least 1-of-2 made free-throws. But that would entail SDSU winning with defensive stops and turnovers, probably not a "rain of threes" or fast-break dunking midway through the 2nd half. Connecticut could easily lose a contest in which Sanogo misses early lay-ups, or suffers foul-trouble such as Drew Timme did in Gonzaga's painful loss to UConn earlier in the tournament. Like a wide receiver in football, a successful post player relies on his supporting cast to execute, and "feed the beast" down low with accurate looks in space or at least vs 1-on-1 defense. Power forwards don't automatically score 20+ points and lead their teams to victory. But we're not writing off San Diego State's chance for one last upset and a true Cinderella's national championship, because it seems that pundits have forgotten Sanogo's basic role with the Huskies. Connecticut is a whopping (-166) favorite, showing that it's not just UConn's bruising inside basketball that helps to make SDSU such a steep underdog. ![]() Look at the prop bets available on either team to score the game's first 3-pointer. That would be a whopping point spread for even aristocrats of the Top 25, like Kansas or Duke, defending a national championship vs similar talent as the impressive west-coast Cinderella brings to '23 against UConn.įanDuel is onto something clever with the sportsbook's wide point spread for Monday night's championship tip-off, but it still leaves the book vulnerable to combination picks by title-game speculators who aren't obsessed with cheering for a single outcome. The Aztecs are a 3-to-1 pick to beat UConn, with the latter team giving (-7.5) points against the spread. Sanogo's dominance has helped to cast SDSU as a steep underdog in the 2023 national championship game. But the Huskies were too strong inside, thanks to the presence of Adama Sanogo, who scored 21 points while grabbing 10 rebounds and breaking UConn's latter-half scoring slump from the foul stripe. Miami dazzled Space City spectators on fast-breaks early in the 2nd half as Most Outstanding Player candidate Isaiah Wong finished his bid with 15 points, and fellow Hurricanes guard Jordan Miller posted a double-double. Updated: ApPredictions and Recommended Picks for Monday's CBB Title GameĬonnecticut managed to ward off a latter-half charge from Miami in men's Final Four action, prevailing 71-59 to advance to Monday's final after laboring through the tense first 35+ minutes. ![]()
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